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Prepare dinner Political Report 2024 Senate forecast spells robust street for Democrats to maintain slim majority

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Prepare dinner Political Report 2024 Senate forecast spells robust street for Democrats to maintain slim majority

2023-01-24 11:02:44
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Democrats face a troublesome election cycle in 2024 with a purpose to maintain on to their one-seat majority within the higher chamber as they’ll must defend greater than double the variety of seats than Republicans.

Democrats maintain 23 seats that might be up for grabs, together with three toss-ups and one other 5 which might be thought-about aggressive, in line with the nonpartisan Prepare dinner Political Report’s first Senate evaluation of the cycle launched Tuesday.

The Senate is presently break up 51-49, giving Democrats a one-seat edge.

“To be able to win again the bulk, Republicans must win again only one seat if their celebration regains the White Home, or two in the event that they don’t. That appears eminently doable given the map, however because the GOP ought to have realized final November, candidate high quality nonetheless counts,” mentioned Prepare dinner Political Report analyst Jessica Taylor.

The toss-up races embrace Democrats Sherrod Brown of Ohio and Joe Manchin III of West Virginia, in addition to unbiased Kyrsten Sinema of Arizona, who caucuses with Democrats.

The Lean Democrat seats, that are thought-about aggressive, embrace Democrats Jon Tester of Montana, Jackie Rosen of Nevada, Bob Casey of Pennsylvania, Tammy Baldwin of Wisconsin and Debbie Stabenow of Michigan, who’s retiring.

Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin have been all received by President Biden by fewer than 3 proportion factors however received by former President Donald Trump in 2016.

Ohio went for Mr. Trump by single digits however is now not thought-about a swing state. Montana and West Virginia went closely for Mr. Trump by double digits.

No incumbent Republicans maintain seats which might be presently thought-about aggressive.



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